Flood Advisory

1019 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...

KANABEC COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

MILLE LACS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

MORRISON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 400 AM CDT

* AT 1012 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER
RADAR RAINFALL RATES ARE RANGING 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.  ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO AROUND 2  
INCHES.  

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER
CROSSINGS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING
INCLUDE...LITTLE FALLS...MILACA...MORA...BAYVIEW...BUCKMAN...

CUSHING...ELMDALE...FORESTON...GENOLA...GRASSTON...HARDING...

HILLMAN...ISLE...LASTRUP...LEWIS LAKE...MORRILL...OGILVIE...

ONAMIA...PEASE...PIERZ...QUAMBA...RANDALL...ROYALTON...SOBIESKI...

UPSALA...VINELAND...WAHKON AND WARMAN.

LOWLAND FLOODING...AND FLOODED ROADSIDE DITCHES CAN BE EXPECTED AS 
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT.    

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT 
DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WITH ADDITIONAL 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH...EXPECT EXCESSIVE RUNOFF 
FROM THESE STORMS TO CAUSE QUICK RESPONDING AND LOCALIZED FLOODING 
OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES. 

&&

LAT...LON 4631 9437 4629 9434 4623 9439 4616 9436
4616 9383 4625 9381 4626 9359 4623 9342
4616 9342 4616 9308 4574 9315 4574 9352
4557 9353 4556 9375 4583 9377 4583 9433
4579 9435 4579 9463 4633 9464

Flash Flood Watch

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT...

.A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...ALONG WITH A SMALL PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY MORNING.

SOME CITIES IN THE WATCH AREA INCLUDE THE TWIN CITIES...MANKATO...

FAIRMONT... REDWOOD FALLS...WILLMAR...ST CLOUD...LITTLE FALLS...

MORA...CAMBRIDGE...AND BALSAM LAKE.

THUNDERSTORMS...WITH POTENTIAL RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS 2 INCHES
PER HOUR OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT
THIS EVENING ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA.

AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWS LATER THIS EVENING...AND A SURFACE
LOW MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG IT...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND BEHIND THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. THIS IS SIMILAR TO LAST WEEKS SYSTEM THAT DROPPED
LOCALLY TWO TO FIVE INCHES ACROSS A BROAD AREA OF SOUTHWEST...TO
EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

THE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE SWOLLEN DUE TO THE PAST HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENT...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL RUNOFF
QUICKLY...AND CREATE FLOODING. DEPENDING ON THE LOCAL TERRAIN...

FLOOD PRONE OR URBAN AREAS...SOME OF THE FLOODING COULD DEVELOP
INTO FLASH FLOODING...WHICH IS RAPIDLY RISING WATER IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE EAST ON
MONDAY...COULD RANGE FROM ONE INCH...TO LOCALLY THREE OR FOUR
INCHES...IF SOME OF THE STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS.

MNZ043>045-049>053-057>063-065>070-073>076-082-083-091-WIZ014-
280530-
/O.CON.KMPX.FF.A.0003.120527T2200Z-120528T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-
CHISAGO-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-
LE SUEUR-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-MARTIN-POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...

ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...

WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...BLAINE...

ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...

SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...

LE SUEUR...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...FAIRMONT...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE
426 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...INCLUDING THE 
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MINNESOTA...ANOKA...BENTON...BLUE EARTH...

BROWN...CARVER...CHISAGO...DAKOTA...HENNEPIN...ISANTI... 
KANABEC...KANDIYOHI...LE SUEUR...MARTIN...MCLEOD...MEEKER... 
MILLE LACS...MORRISON...NICOLLET...RAMSEY...REDWOOD... 
RENVILLE...SCOTT...SHERBURNE...SIBLEY...STEARNS...WASHINGTON...

WATONWAN AND WRIGHT. IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...POLK. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY 
TONIGHT. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. 

* FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. 
HEAVY RAINFALL IN SHORT PERIODS OF TIME FREQUENTLY CAUSE URBAN 
FLOODING AND CAN WASH OUT RURAL ROADS. ANY GROUND THAT IS 
SATURATED WILL ADD TO FLOODING POTENTIAL. IN ADDITION TO THE 
THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING...THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO RESULT 
IN FLOODING ALONG AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

Flood Warning

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA... 

MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR FORT RIPLEY AFFECTING MORRISON AND CROW WING
COUNTIES
ST. LOUIS RIVER AT SCANLON AFFECTING CARLTON COUNTY

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA...

MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR AITKIN AFFECTING AITKIN COUNTY

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVEN DAYS HAS SATURATED SOILS AND 
GENERATED RAPID RUNOFF IN AREA RIVER BASINS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY 
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST OVER THESE AREAS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  
AS OF 1100 AM SUNDAY MANY AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE OVER 
THEIR BANKS. THE COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOILS AND ANTICIPATED HEAVY 
RAIN WILL RESULT IN EFFICIENT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS. THIS
WILL CONTINUE DRIVING RIVER LEVELS HIGHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND HAVE THEM RELAY THE REPORT
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...

FOR THE MOST RECENT RIVER INFORMATION GO TO OUR WEB PAGE AT: 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DLH 
AND VISIT THE AHPS/RIVER INFORMATION SECTION FOR COMPLETE DETAILS.

TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN...DON'T DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

&&

MNC035-097-281848-
/O.NEW.KDLH.FL.W.0002.120528T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTRM5.2.ER.120528T1800Z.120602T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
149 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR FORT RIPLEY.

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

* AT 11:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.

* AT 12.0 FEET...THE BOAT LANDING AND PARKING LOT AT THE PUBLIC 
ACCESS ARE UNDER WATER.  
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON MAR 23 1966.

&& 

FLOOD  TODAYS  24 HR        FORECAST 7AM     
LOCATION      STAGE  STAGE   CHG    MON   TUE   WED   THU   FRI

DULUTH FORECAST POINTS
FORT RIPLEY  10     9.3            9.9  10.4  11.2  11.8  12.2

Hazardous Weather Outlook

1116 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN...WILL
CONTINUE INTO EARLY MORNING. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THOSE AREAS RECEIVING HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FEW NON SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH 1 AM.

There are currently no Special Weather Statements Little Falls Automatic Weather Observing / Reporting System, .

There are currently no Short Term Forecasts Little Falls Automatic Weather Observing / Reporting System, .