Severe Thunderstorm Watch
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 326 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-310900-
/O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0326.000000T0000Z-120531T0900Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
Hazardous Weather Outlook
518 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012
...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA .
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.
DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A COLD FRONT POSITIONED ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS AND ALSO ALONG A DRY LINE NEAR THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE A SOUTHWARD PUSH WITH THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
DRY LINE WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. CONTINUED FAVORABLE INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION
WILL ALLOW FOR THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS. A LIMITED TORNADO RISK ALSO EXISTS ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO FORM INTO A COMPLEX OF
THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WITH MORE OF A WIND
THREAT...PUSHING SOUTHEAST WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD CREATE A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
CONDITIONS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING AS THE
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE ACTIVITY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD
EXIT THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH COOLER AND
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION IN ITS WAKE.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO RETURN TO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A
WEAK WARM FRONT TRIES TO PUSH NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD REMAIN NEAR THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL TO RETURN SOUTHWARD AS A COLD FRONT TUESDAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
There are currently no Special Weather Statements Sulphur Springs, Arkansas.
Shortterm Forecast
828 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012
.NOW...
AT 8:28 PM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
NEARING WESTERN PAWNEE AND WESTERN OSAGE COUNTIES. A LARGER
COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN
KANSAS AND DIVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA.
THROUGH 9:30 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING INTO
PAWNEE AND OSAGE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPAND SOUTHWARD AND AFFECT WESTERN CREEK AND
WESTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTIES. STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY IMPACTS. OTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ALONG A BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS FROM OSAGE COUNTY EASTWARD INTO FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IN KANSAS
WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BETWEEN 9:15 AND
9:45. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL HAVE OCCURRED WITH THESE
STORMS ACROSS KANSAS.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING.
Clear
